As the possibility of war looms, the British Army chief highlights the importance of societal readiness. Meanwhile, Russia faces a strategic defeat, regardless of the Ukraine war outcome and the UK Defense Minister pinpoints increasing links between adversaries. With this changing global dynamic, is it time for us to rethink our approach to national security?
Shifts in Global Power
With the ongoing conflict in Ukraine, Russia finds itself in a precarious position. Despite the odds, Ukraine has managed to resist effectively. Concurrently, Sweden and Finland have become part of NATO, a move that further destabilizes the Russian military's standing.
Russia's latest strategic moves have also been questioned. A vassal relationship with China has been established, arguably putting Russia in a vulnerable position, especially in the event of a conflict. It's also interesting to note Russia's reliance on the military prowess of Iran and North Korea, specifically their drones and ballistic missiles.
Increased Tensions Triggers Change
The German Defense Minister has echoed similar sentiments, warning of the risk of war. He opines that even if a Russian attack is unlikely at present, we must prepare for a potential escalation in the coming years. Such preparations may even include the reintroduction of military service.
Sweden, too, is gearing up its civilian population for possible conflict. This suggests that more countries are starting to take seriously the reality of a changing global dynamic, and the potential threats it may pose to national security.
The British Army’s Stance
The British Army's chief argues that while professional armies may initiate wars, it is citizen armies that ultimately gain the upper hand. As such, the UK is not seeking to reintroduce conscription. Rather, they are focusing on building an army capable of rapid expansion from the first echelon.
This is evidenced by talks of a British army of 120,000 men in the next three years, including reservists. However, this figure may still fall short. It has been suggested that groundwork needs to be laid for a possible national mobilization to tackle the recruitment crisis in the British armed forces.
Time for a Change in Mentality
The Chairman of NATO's Military Committee has issued a call to action. He urges both public and private actors to adapt their mentality to a time where unanticipated developments can occur rapidly. Whether this suggests a shift towards a state of constant vigilance or a more nuanced reappraisal of risk management strategies remains to be seen.