Recent trends suggest a decline in the frequency of Houthi rebel attacks in Yemen's Red Sea region, making this an interesting development for political observers and military strategists worldwide.
A Decline in Rebel Attacks
The US military noted four minor attacks launched by the Houthis over the past week. These involved the use of drones and missiles. This decreased frequency gives rise to speculation that ammunition stocks might be diminishing.
Uncertainty Surrounds Houthi Firepower
One point of speculation surrounds the current inventory of Houthi weapons. Analysts are unsure about the existing levels of the Houthis' missile and drone stockpile. The infrequency of their recent attacks could be an indicator that their ammo might be running low.
Possible Iranian Involvement
Some theories suggest Iranian involvement in restocking the Houthis' weaponry. Notably, the US accused Iran of orchestrating the Houthi Red Sea attacks back in December. It's also believed that the Houthis could be more autonomous and difficult to manage than other militias backed by Iran present in Iraq and Syria.
The International Response
Since the beginning of the year, the US and UK have carried out four rounds of airstrikes on Houthi infrastructures in Yemen. US envoy for Yemen, Timothy Lenderking, has even proposed removing the Houthis from the list of terrorist organizations to encourage them to cease their attacks. The US has expressed readiness to reassess their status if Houthi attacks in the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden come to a halt.
Adjustments to Naval Operations
In response to the unrest, the French Navy has modified its operations in the region. Moreover, the European naval mission, Operation Aspides, has seen changes in the deployment of its frigates. Currently, a La Fayette-type frigate is patrolling the Gulf of Aden, a region previously targeted by Houthi rebels.